As I have been saying all along, this promo above $100 never really made sense from those who understand the dynamic of this type of market.
The actual price for raw should be $20-$30 no more since it rewards the seller with free goodies (free entrance to the museum or free TCG merchandising).
When it comes to PSA 10, the price will probably converge to $60-$80 within a year or so.
Finally the Pokemon Company reacted well : At the end you do not want to punish the fans or collectors and put them at the mercy of scalpers. The risk being fans moving out to other tcgs or completely dropping out from pokemon collecting after experiencing a very bad taste from the way this collaboration went.
A reputation takes years to be built but minutes to be destroyed: at the end we were in damage control overall.
I see the logic, but it appears to ignore supply and demand? If this were the case, then everything released should remain at MSRP?
It will be really interesting to see what happens to the PSA 10 price. Like most forecasting, it’s very difficult to be certain. I’m curious to see how much the (assumed) growing Asian (particularly Chinese) market will influence demand of this English-only promo.
This makes no sense. Anyone who has looked at modern purchase incentive promos knows that the most important factor for price is supply.
Just look at the special delivery cards. Special Delivery Bidoof is the most expensive, not because it is some amazing, beautiful card, but because there was a limited distribution. Van Gogh Pika certainly made sense at $100+ when there was a 5-minute window to get it from from the Pokemon Center or you had to be in the Netherlands. Now that Pokemon is distributing many many more of the promos, the price is rightfully coming down. But again, it’s only coming down because of extra supply. You’ve been saying it will come down well before all of these extra distributions, but it’s only now that the extra distributions are happening that there’s any impact on the price.
I would say that the most important variable is actually demand. So it’s no surprise that perhaps the most in-demand card ever printed would stay over $100 for so long.
But yes, supply is also important. If you fix the demand and add a ton of supply of course the equilibrium price will shift down.
I agree it’s about supply and demand , supply increased, right? and price are correcting? so it’s all logical. We are good.
Also I would compare it to “pikachu on the ball” that was scarce on release in the UK (it was exclusive over there and targeted the football clubs, a beautiful story) and was scalped and didn’t really ended in the hand of the people that should have (kids in clubs,)… the raw card price was very high if not in the thousands of Euros (dollars)… pokemon reacted and increase supply by making it available through game store… and price collapsed. Any analogies here?
so it’s not a bidoof story , its always a pikachu one !
Personnaly I scooped one psa 10 pikachu on the ball for my collection for 60 bucks instead of 1000 or 2000$.
I thank pokemon to their reaction following the outrageous behaviour around the release of this card… similarly to what happened with the van gogh collaboration…a beautiful story turned ugly.
So yes , price will continue drifting down, bet on that.
"At Intertoys and Media Markt, the card will have to be scanned and listed on your receipt. This means the stores can track how many cards go out. It also means the card can’t be distributed before February 10th.
Game Mania stores will require your membership card before handing out the promo. This means customers will not be able to get a second promo at a different Game Mania store."
I just got back from my local intertoys, I arrived there late in order to avoid any potential flipper crowd. It was blissfully calm, the staff didn’t seem too bothered, and there was one other guy asking for the promo. They seemingly still had loads. I purchased an overpriced Paldean Fates ETB and the promo indeed is listed on my receipt.
I also received an e-mail from one of the small stores I sometimes buy from, they will receive the full order next week (was previously slashed to 10 promos).
Does cardmarket do anything against stock manipulation? It seems so easy for sellers to just add these to their cart for 24 hours and not pay just to inflate the price.
I think they’re held in a cart for a couple of hours though, and removing is still manual step, the automatic removal is only after 12 hours I believe.
That’s true, i haven’t sold anything there so i have no knowledge how sellers know if someone has their item in chart. I’ve only had a seller remove an item from my cart once when i took a longer session of going through cards there
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