I was surprised to see it at 15k. Potentially shilled, although it wouldn’t be the first time for a PWCC auction to end above the lowest BIN. I’ve indeed raised the price of mine from 10 to 15 - just like the 17 one which was listed at 12 before lol.
The 9 was a 3-day auction, it probably would’ve performed better if the seller was patient and put it up for BIN or used some sort of reputable consignment service.
A lot. Most cards are still 2-3x higher (if not more) than early 2020. Most cards could drop 25% more (and probably will) and still be better performers than the US stock market and other asset classes have been in the same time frame.
It’s worth noting that the vast majority of the 2010 Design Contest cards which have surfaced are extra copies so this argument doesn’t really stand up too much here. Supply on the 2010 cards has always been very high sadly.
However in line with what you’re saying the CoroCoro Winner card linked is actually one of the few 2010 cards which have surfaced direct from the winner and as such this particular card is more readily available than the others (I can see 5 of them listed across various Japanese marketplace websites). To my knowledge the winner has only sold 7 of their 100 cards, making the other 44 copies PSA have graded extra copies.
If you search on Japanese marketplace websites for “ポケモンカードゲーム デザインコンテスト” (Pokémon Card Game Design Contest) it’s this CoroCoro Winner Zoroark which appears the most.
On eBay alone, there are two PSA 10s of this design for sale in Europe and one in Japan right now. One listed in Belgium is actually a little bit cheaper than this auction ended.
They’re still rare cards, but they’re not as rare as they otherwise would have been.
I have a blog article all about the 2009 Design Contest and as part of that I compare the graded population of the 2009 and 2010 Design Contests with the 2015 Art Academy set - all of which had the same official distribution of 100 cards being awarded to each winner: pichu.blog/2009-design-contest#cards-which-have-surfaced.
To summarise: the Art Academy contest is known to have extra copies (to my knowledge the Kyogre illustrator still has all 100 of their cards but as of the time of writing this post PSA has graded 13 of them). This is what the population distribution for the Art Academy looked like on PSA’s pop report in July last year:
4 of the cards had no copies graded at all whereas others have a lot of copies graded. The cards with a lot of copies graded are from winners who have been actively selling their cards. This is very much all over the place and is in line with what I’d at least expect to see for a distribution of this nature.
Comparing this with the 2010 Design Contest, we see this (again, this is as of July 2020):
All of the cards had at this point between 37 and 48 copies graded. There’s a lot of uniformity to this as if all of the winners had somehow banded together to sell a similar number of copies of each of their cards. As a tidbit: 20 copies have been graded since I made this chart and the range is now 39 to 51.
Finally the 2009 Design Contest in July 2020 looked like this:
At this point between 3 and 5 of each card had been graded by PSA. Despite very few of each card having surfaced, there is still a lot of uniformity here as if to imply the winners had all specifically banded together to sell 3-5 of their cards.
Around October last year the winner of the 2009 Televi-Kun contest listed one of their cards for sale on YJA. At this point 3 of their cards had been graded by PSA since before 2017. @pokekuma13 reached out to them to ask how many other copies they’d sold and they replied to say that they’d sold one copy before this point.
Only 1 of the 2009 cards have appeared on PSA’s pop report since then, though I graded 2 cards with CGC and @magicrap the winner of the first Televi-Kun auction mentioned above graded theirs with BGS. I don’t know how many of the 2010 cards have been graded outside of PSA unfortunately.
I believe that a handful of 2009 sets were leaked out and where nobody got in trouble for it I think in 2010 they did the same but on a much larger scale.
I’m possibly bias having recently picked up a copy of the card myself, but I’d not be surprised if there are fewer of the 660 officially-published ‘Chosen Entry’ cards out there than there are each of the 100 officially-published winning cards.
Nice data Pichu. Don’t buy the design cards and save them for me . It will be interesting to see if the pop for some of these cards ever go above their intended distribution number and how that would affect the market.
Great work, PichuFan. Obtaining all of the 2010 design contest cards seems plausible (if expensive), but trying to also obtain all of the 2009 designs is looking very difficult right now.