I sold one in November 2023 for $180 
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63 posts were merged into an existing topic: Crazy Market
Crazy sale, luckily own this card and don’t plan on letting go of it
I got outbid on this lilypad, it is iconic but 11.5k for a non holo is tough
I remember when I wanted to meet up with somebody last year to buy the lugia for about 800 but kept procrastinating it until it was gone, damnit lol.
The ancient mew I is the rarest of the 6 versions with a pop of about 200, managed to get it for half the price 3 months ago. Think I have only seen about 5 for sale in the last years.
1.6k$ for a psa 6 is crazy work. Wonder what a psa 10 would go for. If I had to guess, right now maybe 60-70k$. Not letting go of it
It’s fascinating to me how not a single one comes up for auction during an euphoric mania like this. People really love their goldstar mews
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High pop set cards will be the first bubble to pop, 6k for that Lugia is just moronic
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See here’s the problem though ..it will have to pop at some point but there’s a non zero chance that it pops after $12k or something silly and then people buying at 6k after a 50% discount from the highs will be geniuses 
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Is 925 high pop for an in demand card these days? I’m personally not touching any 10’s at these prices, but I feel like modern pops have skewed what high pop means. Especially if there is demand to meet it. Though if/when demand does drop, it will be interesting to see how that effects everything.
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I looked at a card the other day that had 11,000 pop and thought, hmm that’s kind of low pop. That’s how crazy the market is. I think the definition of low pop has definitely changed, I’m not sure what to call “low pop" anymore.
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and we all thought ppl paying 10k+ for aloan friends was dum is that one even back close to that price yet 
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Can it be largely (and realistically) bought out by an individual or a small group? If yes, then it’s low pop. If not, aka 945, then not really
Just bc modern pops out populate small towns does not mean other pops are suddenly low
The point is they’re still set cards. You don’t need to own a 10- you can own 9s, 8s, etc. There are 13k+ graded TOTAL with PSA alone
At least Gold Stars & Shinings have lower insert rates
EDIT: People listen to the drivel from influencers on insta about low pop too much. Low pop means bugger all tbh, actually triggering lol
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A 10 Mew sold via Pokecolor literally in the last two weeks – no need to guess. It sold for 57k.
I sold mine privately ~2 months ago. Not disclosing price, but UED isn’t getting 70 (at least not yet). However, 1st Ed. might be able to. There were three competing bidders on the Pokecolor Mew.
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“low pop” is doing crazy well currently
i doubt these have any demand outside of their “low pop”ness considering psa 9 is worth like 200 bux
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Oh wow, thanks for the info. Not sure why my Ebay filters did not show me that, do you have a link or screenshot for me? Pricecharting also didn’t show me anything
What website, tool or method do you guys use to track past auctions on all platforms?
Also, generally ued goes for more than 1st with JP but with these the supply is almost identical, ued has 1 more 10 last time I checked
why do you think that warrants such price hike compared to ued?
You know I’m not referring to those when I say low pop is a load of nonsense, there are a couple of outliers. I mean the haphazard labelling
However, they are also in that camp of being able to be bought out and subsequently manipulated
u can call anything with a pop of say below 1000 “low pop” coz the pokenoobs are used to moonbreons with 20000 pops going for 4k and grey felt hats with 50000 pops going for 3k
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I can grab it later on-- but it wasn’t on eBay. It was via Pokecolor’s Chinese platform which is separate to their eBay. This is why you aren’t seeing anything, as 130pt, and other sites aren’t tracking Chinese sites
Re: your quest. abt what site people use, 130pt is the answer in most cases, although it’s become less reliable as of late
UED vs 1st Ed. is set dependent, it’s not some sweeping truth across all JP cards, especially in this market where people dropping six figures have been in the hobby six months. Those people see 1st Ed. stamps and seem to think it means the same as WOTC base
I say 1st Ed. likely goes for more for the same reason as explained above, and because I’d say those in possession of them have resisted selling more than those holding UEDs. It also comes down to what some people are searching for-- and I believe more people are ISO 1st Ed. ones. I know a couple of collectors already had the UED, but not the 1st Ed.
An individual might be willing to pay 90k for a UED, but if his competition in an auction stops at 62k then he pays 62k. Someone might “only” pay 70k for a 1st Ed. but if their competition will also pay 70k, it’s selling higher. I simply believe the market for 1st Ed. is larger. Some people also like consistency across their sets, so if it’s easier to acquire 1st Ed. for the other GS, I’m willing to pay a premium when a 1st Ed. does show up to acquire that consistency
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I will pay more for 1st edition over unlimited, even if unlimited is rarer, just for the label consistency
Surely I’m not alone in this case
Again, just because modern slop could be featured in a Mr. beast “count to x” video doesn’t mean anything below 1k should be considered low pop
Yes, this is what I’m getting at! Neither rarity nor scarcity necessarily demands higher prices. The most notable set that comes to mind for gold stars where it does impact pricing is the gen 3 started trio
The 1k pop cards I am tracking seem to appear at a sufficiently slow rate across all markets that an individual or a small group could easily manipulate the price
It’s not possible to know the exact number but we could imagine that 1k pop means half of it is in long term PCs, and that only 15% is in truly liquid form, exchanging hands over short term on platforms, so there is absolute pop and effective pop
To add : I actually realized I’m effectively tracking all japanese psa10s across US Japan, China
1000pop cards spawn on average 2 to 5 times a week per region (very rough estimate it depends on the card)
In this market even 20k pop cards are being manipulated through various means so idk man
I’m not denying there’s a market to eat up what is available, I’m saying think about how much 1k actually is, and if you think there are 1k people willing to drop 5k, 10k, 20k, 40k, etc. on cards
When we reach high price values, there are usually only a small handful of bidders competing on those cards, no matter how scarce the card is
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