Today I decided to go 1 year back in time right after VMAX Climax opened the floodgates to Alt Arts and character Arts in the scene in a massive wave. Our "Vmax climax was Brillant Stars and to say people were hyped for this set is an understatement.
I find myself caught up watching numerous people rip product and show off all their pulls. I get really excited about the newer arts, alt arts, and in retrospect, shiny cardboard. Saying all this, it is easy to get wrapped up in all the hype and FOMO of a set just like we are seeing now with Crown Zenith.
Now that all the “dust has settled” with Brilliant Stars and all the packs have been opened, lets look at this eye opening video by TwiceBakedJake about devastating outcomes of buying into the hype:
[Watch before reading on]
So after this video what did we learn?
Jake’s top 10 list was all data pulled from the pre-Release Market. He stats these prices are over valuing the cards, but by how much?
|Card||Pre-Release Price||Current TCG Player Buy it Now||ROI|
|Charizard V (Full Art)||$80||$23||-71.3%|
|Arceus VStar (Rainbow Rare)||$80||$15.69||-80.4%|
|Umbreon Vmax (Trainer Gallery)||$85||$24||-71.8%|
|Arceus VStar (Gold)||$105||$19.84||-81.1%|
|Arceus V Alt Art||$115||$40||-65.2%|
|Galarian Moltres V (Gold)||$125||$15||-88%|
|Charizard V Alt Art Card||$250||$171||-31.6%|
|Charizard VStar Rainbow Rare||$350||$76||-78.3%|
|Total Average ROI||-73.4%|
When talking about the Charizard VStar RR, Jake says this:
“I don’t really think it’ll drop that much from that price”
“How low can this card actually go? At it’s absolute lowest, it’ll go for around $200.”
Now this post isn’t to shine a negative light on Jake, his content I personally love and all his showcases of Japanese cards and promos is great to watch. Where I would like to showcase is the hype and FOMO around newer sets and how there isn’t a set “floor price” with all these collectable cards, no matter how many people yell at you.
Personally I own 2 Brilliant Stars booster packs that I got some some tins and that’s it.
I own a bunch more Vmax Climax then any set, but again:
this post’s purpose is to WARN everyone and especially newer collectors about the dangers of FOMO and hype.
Because what if a newer collector opened a TON of Brilliant stars, got a bunch of good cards, spent $500+ to ship and grade them at PSA? Then most likely majority of them come back as 8-9’s? Well let me just show you…
Obviously everyone has to be responsible to what they choose to put money into, but some newer collectors may just not know the risks, especially with English sets.
Just a friendly PSA to be careful out there…