How long do you think it will take before the hype dies down? I recently started collecting again because of my Heritage Auctions scenario getting resolved and I just find it so difficult to be engaged in collecting and outside of E4, the locals here in Dallas are extremely toxic and only care about “hitting” product off the shelves and money. I stopped going to my LGS and just been doing other stuff while looking for rare cards online and I really hope that we can go back to 2023.
2023 was also the record hype boom for JP Pokémon, some things will eventually correct themselves but not as predictably as you hope for; and some won’t
As long as people are genuinely excited about the newest releases, it will keep going
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I don’t know if we’ll ever go back to how anything was prior to 2020. Just seems like the hobby has grown too much since then and continues to grow each year it seems. On one hand I am happy to see the growth as it gives confidence to the long-term prospects of both Pokemon & collecting. But, it does dampen the appeal a bit of being a casual collector or player due to the increasing barrier to entry in either side of it. I don’t see any solution to any of this, about all you can do is collect what you can afford at a price you’re willing to pay. We’re all in the same boat so to speak.
Speaking personally, I was happy to accumulate a lot of vintage in 2022 after the Covid hype. Now it’s rebounded some the past while. Modern has also moved up and down at times, but it’s held up strong overall across the board. It’s really anyone’s best guess at this point where it will end up, but I think we’re just in a new era and how things were in the past just don’t seem like they will return to me at this point.
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Im just staying away from modern for the forseeable future. Collecting mainly JP vintage rn and prices are still higher than they were but not nearly as bad
If i had to guess, best case scenario, things start cooling off over the next few months. Worst case, we ride this wave until late 2026 - early 2027
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I feel that the modern hype is already cooling of a little bit, at least here in Europe. German booster boxes for Journey Together are around 150,- EUR, which is still far off pre-hype levels for boxes but nevertheless is a welcome sign (English boxes are still at around 170,- EUR though). Also at many stores I at least can find Blisters and Loose Packs readily available (a store in my area even had the Prismatic Evolutions mini tins readily available for msrp). Modern Japanese is still very expensive though, a box of Heat Wave Arena is around 75,- EUR, while you usually could find Japanese boxes for around 40,- to 50,- EUR here.
Plenty of the cards, especially ARs and SARs that completely skyrocketed at the end of 2024/beginning of 2025 also went down significantly.
It’s still not even close to pre-hype levels but I still get the feeling that it’s slowly moving in the right direction.
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I actually think that mega hype waves are good for the longevity of Pokemon overall. Today’s kids are growing up with Pokemon hype just like 90s kids did. It makes me optimistic that in 20 years we’ll have people nostalgic for the cards of today 
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I think its just about having a patient, slow and steady mindset. Hype ebbs and flows a lot and new fantastic cards get shown off and released everyday which takes more eyes off the last hyped card in a cycle. As said above there was a lot of hype and price spikes at the end of 2024 and early 2025, but many have cooled off or are beginning to now.
We are in just a different landscape now. So many more eyes and people are in the hobby now whether they be collectors or investors than past years and more speculation on these modern items than ever before. I doubt we’ll ever see pre 2020 modern again, but I think the 2022/2023 landscape where the market is silent yet strong is the neutral we will eventually go back to then leave and then go back to and so on and so on and until that eventually changes, If much more products hits the shelfs as TPCI has been saying they will print modern should be lot more fun experience for all, except maybe those just in it for money.
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There is no light. There is no tunnel. We are in a box. There’s no end.
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When a new generation is released. New sets featuring new Pokémon are often viewed negatively at first.
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when the sneaker and/or gambling bros get bored and move onto something else
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These things move in cycles. At some point, things will die down. It might not extinguish as much as the 2022 dip, but things will not stay this wild forever.
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As someone in Japan where people experienced the greatest modern bubble in history starting from 2022 and reaches its peak in 2023 (i.e. Sylveon VMAX Alt PSA 10 selling at $3000 USD, Moonbreon at $6400, etc.), I always got confused why people would want to go back to that dreadful times. lol
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6-18 months imo
I’m not sure how much I’d use JT prices and availability as a sign of cooling off in the market. It’s between Prismatic Evolutions and the Team Rocket sets, I think a lot are skipping JT to concentrate on the other 2.
Since it’s the most recent set I used it as an example. But you are certainly right, we will see after the release of Destined Rivals if it really cooled off.
Most definetly. Will it be anytime soon: probably not.
If it does come soon, hopefully it’ll be during black bolt and white flare. I really want to get the mega evolution sets and rayquaza.
I think we’re past the peak and the light is getting brighter. It may be a combination of several variables, but the warmer weather is playing a part in my opinion. I thought the economy may crash and correct the pokemon market but that doesn’t appear to be happening any longer. Destined rivals lost some steam after the card reveals, I think we’ll be back to normal after black and white
True. I was mainly referencing the English side calm down from the hype 2020 brought.
A watched pot never boils
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