Where do you see the market going in the next 12 months?
Personally I think vintage continue to grow until next year, until around the 30th anniversary.
English Gold stars, Crystals and certain sets have sharply risen - with their Japanese equivalents also seeing sharp price rises - in my opinion, these growth rates arent sustainable and at some point will slow/drop.
A few larger resellers are now looking to get out of positions in these specific cards/sets.
I see base 1st Ed base and Shadowless doing well in the coming months in the leadup to the 30th anniversary.
Take what I say with a major grain of salt as I thought Moonbreon would be a $500 card by now
I also rarely sell cards from my PC so price changes dont really matter that much to me in terms of value - but it would be nice to finish my sets without paying 2x their price levels 6 months ago.
We already peaked
After 30th Anniversary
Sometime between now and 30th anniversary
It is set/subset specific, eg. XY will go up and Crystals will dip
I don’t care, I just like shiny cardboard (don’t choose this option)
I can be vague and agree that certain cards will continue to see some growth in the coming months. From the release of pocket through the release of the rocket set, we saw the largest growth in all demographics (collectors, investors, seller, flippers) imo. In the short term, an increase in demand for older chase cards, is expected. But in 12 months, what will sustain that demand and continue to bring folks in? Obviously we can’t predict the future but I don’t see how the 30th anniversary will bring a wave as significant as pocket-rocket? Who’s ready for base-set reprint, seventh-edition.. something like creatures deck would excite me but probably won’t for the average person.
30th Anniversary will be marketed pretty heavily tbh.
But for me its also changes in liquidity rates are predicted to be dropping further towards the end of the year, and in 2026 - meaning debt is cheaper - meaning more money can go into collectibles.
The massive dump comes in the months before 30th….. the reprints coming out now will kill all the hype from current sets besides prismatic as that it own beast. I said December last year when things started to really go silly we peaked to early to be able to hold out till 30th and by September/october this year we start to see drops
30th anniversary itself doesn’t make any difference just because it is a round number. A cool promo or set release that centers on the 30th would be impactful, but looking at past history - 20th was propped up by Pokemon GO, 25th was propped up by Lightly Played and the pandemic. Whoops, Logan Paul auto corrects to LP
I thought by at latest May/June modern printing would be brought back under control. So I don’t put stock in my own predictions anymore. At latest things cool off by April 2026
reprints of booster boxes will extinguish hype on vivid voltage surging sparks
eevee heroes terastal festival will get turned into shining fates, prices will become sane on everything except the eeveelution SIRs in the singles side of it.
Everything will slow down in general, retracing on certain things that aren’t truly that rare
Honestly I think a lot will have to do with overall economic situation. A mellow market here depends on a mellow market in general.
25th anniversary did absolutely nothing to the market in 2021, it was carried by all the other crazy sets of that year. 30th won’t either as it is merely celebrates by releasing a set and promos made for everyone. That said, the next full art Pikachu promo should be in all languages including Simplified Chinese and Latin American Spanish
u know when the dump is about to happen coz you’ll see tons of them in pwcc weeklies so far its been pretty dry all year i’d say but stuff like ponchos, mario pikas etc are being dumped regularly
XY stuff will get pumped and then slow down towards the end of the mega block
TRR rocket/dark cards will have significant retraces compared to earlier this year
whatever’s in PSA’s backlog is gonna cause modern to slow down overall
so far its been pretty dry all year i’d say but stuff like ponchos, mario pikas etc are being dumped regularly