Memes aside, Iâll jump in on the take-sharing on this.
Over the past year or so, CGC lost a lot of their substantive advantages over PSA, namely turnaround time and price. Now that PSA is wide open and has a 2-month turnaround for $15 bulk, there is little incentive to submit to CGC other than preference, outside of the rare cases of error/early release cards which arguably CGC does better.
I think CGC revamping their grading scale and trying to provide a better service to collectors is a good thing, people need more incentives to submit to CGC and a revamp allows CGC to address things that arenât working. As @pfm has pointed out, competition and options in the grading space is a good thing. However, I see this as a huge missed opportunity for CGC. Essentially what theyâve done is eliminated any remaining submission incentives while introducing a ton of confusion.
First, this is CGCâs third grading scale/standards change in three years. Weâre all familiar with the endless 8.5s you would get on cards during the first year or so of CGCâs operation. Once they released the pop report, they made changes to the standards such that higher grades were easier to obtain, especially on modern cards. While this was very obvious to anyone who looked at the numbers, CGC publicly denied that any change had been made. Now we have this change to the grading scale, moving Gem Mint from 9.5 to 10, eliminating Perfect, and perhaps changing the grading standards yet again.
I actually think CGC has got it right this time, 10 is widely associated with Gem Mint in the grading community and having a somewhat obtainable 10 grade is what a lot of collectors want. I also think it would have been much better if CGC just started out this way from the beginning. I donât understand the weird 9.5 to 10 shift theyâre doing, but now introducing a new 9.5 grade as well. If CGC is going to take the massive step of changing their grading scale and shifting 9.5 to 10s, they should have eliminated the 9.5 grade (if not half-point grades entirely).
Over their short three years of operation, CGC has methodically killed off what made them unique in search of more profit and market share. They killed off the harsher grading scale (while generally disliked, some collectors preferred this as opposed to PSAâs perceived lenience), killed off subgrades, and now have killed off the idea that 10 is a halo grade. In becoming a PSA-at-home grading company, theyâve also lost the trust of a lot of collectors. The earlier you submitted to CGC, the more screwed you are. If you submitted right as they opened, you got stuck with a bunch of 8.5s on your modern Japanese cards. If you (re)submitted after the grading standards change, sure you got less 8.5s, but now you have to pay $5 per card to get your cards reholdered and perhaps upgraded. And nobody knows if those cards will be worth more in a CGC Gem Mint 10 as opposed to a CGC Gem Mint 9.5.
Lastly, what happens next year if CGC isnât getting the volume of submissions that they want? Do they make another change to their label, another change to their grading scale? Maybe they do go ahead and eliminate the new 9.5 grade (any CGC 9.5s can be re-examined to determine if theyâre 9s or 10s for the low price of $7 per card). I donât think theyâll actually do this, but now CGC has a track record of major changes when things arenât working out. I donât worry about PSA suddenly coming up with a new Pristine 10 grade or a Mint + 9.5 grade. I donât worry that PSA is going to revamp their label into something completely different, messing up the continuity in my collection.