ccrntrade:
The notion has always been 1st Edition Base Thick stamps are more rare than 1st Edition Base Thin stamps. I am starting to record down cert numbers and track whether the card is a Thick or a Thin stamp and after multiple hours of digging through eBay recording over 1,000 cards right now Thick stamps are coming in at about 60% vs 40% thin stamps. Charizard with 114 copies available on eBay is about 50/50 with 58 Thin vs. 56 Thick. Now of course this is a way too small sample size of 1st Edition Base Holos and is not be very accurate in my opinion. Even getting 10,000 cards recorded down the results could be skewed because well of all the other cards that would not be recorded could sway the results either way. Also with the notion of Thick being more rare, people might be holding more of those cards and selling off thin stamps skewing my results.
Started a post on IG asking for help, if people were wanting to send me what they have in their collection to add to my research. The only two responses I got were from people bashing me, saying thick is clearly more rare, don’t bother doing the research I am simply wasting my time. I respond asking how they are so confident in knowing, and there is no clear answer besides from personal experience. I am not trying to prove anything, simply just curious to see what the results are from as large of a sample pool as I can get.
Should I bother continuing to ask people what they have? Is it a waste of time because the sample pool might not be large enough to get accurate results?
Solid sample and great work—thank you for sharing!
On the topic of which came first, no one has ever ruled out that thin came first or that they were printed contemporaneously. There’s a poster released February 1999 (likely designed significantly before then) that shows the holos with thin stamps:
www.elitefourum.com/t/questions-about-japanese-poster-with-english-base-pictures/33397/1
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