If I may ask what did you notice specifically that showed you that prices seem to be going down? I am genuinely curious because who knows maybe some cards / sealed products could very well be starting to dip
No, I’ve seen a few cards come down, ex era included.
The only XY era card that I noticed a notable dropoff in price was the PSA 10 Charizard EX XY121 that sold for 3k on 27 july 2025
peaked with 2 4k sales earlier this summer
But everything else still climbs, I was tired yesterday so I decided not to spam market thread as I always do but here are some notable sales.
I remember the Charizard #100 was ~2k in early 2025, the gold weather trio was 4k, the shaymin was 1.4-1.9k, the kyurem was 1.25k,and the gold reshi was 1.7k
last thing I tried to buy on auction this past weekend ended at over double what it ended at a few weeks ago haha
My observations:
Sealed market seems to be chugging along upward.
Graded market generally seems strong.
Ungraded market seems solid.
The old PokemonPrice website used to be a great resource for getting a feel for the market in general terms by allowing users to view sets as indices. You can use the mobile app Collectr to do the same thing. The function is part of their set analytics offering. I’m not sure if it is exclusive to pro members, but here is a breakdown of some of the older sets over the past 6 months.
It’s a Gengar card and low pop. Can easily see it going for $15k-$20k next year, we’re in a bull market so prices should reflect that.
Personally I would pay even more for a PSA 10 copy should it come for sale in the future. Everyone was calling me stupid for buying raw gold stars for $500 5 years ago.
It’s a demographic factor too. Kids who grew up during the EX-Nintendo era are in their mid 20’s to early 30’ now reaching their higher income years, plus supply is more scarce than WOTC. I would argue the artwork and concept of delta species is more interesting than the older stuff too. You’re gonna see something similar with HGSS sets too i.e COL/Legend cards in the next few years.
Nobody is going to pay $15k-$20k for a non-holo Gengar from Arceus. This is almost as bad a prediction as the $30k 1st Ed Bulbasaur.
30k bulbs is coming … it’s just .. trying to suprise us ???
Just remember everyone, peak earning years for everyone is 45-50 so this bull market will continue to run until we are all the new boomers
Some cards are seeing declines. One of my favorite cards is the stained glass birds (SM210) so I’ve been consistently buying it the past year. PSA 10 prices peaked a few weeks ago at around $500 and now they’re down to $300-$330.
makes sense for something like this. as soon as prices hike the collectors with hudreds of sealed copies on a shelf will crack and grade to capitalize. supply can go up at any given moment (for now)
older cards there are simply little to no nm/m copies available, and even pack fresh can be pop locked
I agree, it was also in the Hidden Fates ETB. Which was the primary way that people opened the set.
Ah I see, the imaginary flock of nostalgic people all reaching disposable income together, in the span of 6 months.
Maybe it played a role during the covid when all WOTC cards were going nuts across the board, but I honestly doubt this is a relevant thing now.
Also these gen alpha kids must be really really nostalgic for XY full arts, megas or ponchos, and already fairly affluent as well, earning big dollars in school.
I’m 25 years old now making $100k with no mortgage or kids leading to high disposable income. A lot of my friends are the same too, so it’s really not that crazy to drop $10k-$20k on a hobby. We don’t need to be nostalgic about ponchos or modern, if we buy vintage it’s likely we buy modern too if we like it. If you went to a decent university studied STEM or finance it’s pretty easy to break 6 figures, add to that the demographic that like people are more likely to be the nerdy higher income types it makes sense.
Very achievable in the next decade. If you told people in 2005 that a GS Rayquaza would sell for $100k they would say you’re crazy. Same principle
To be fair, the Rayquaza has not sold for 100k yet. People just assume it would in this market
Is this satire ?
it has had offers of 100k “privately” and no one has sold it apparently