If you have a clearly established provenance for it, I would estimate $20-25k. For a long time, short crimp boxes suffered in value because Unlimited boxes were worth so little comparitively (eg, 3.5k vs 11-14k), so it was quite a gamble to hope the cards would be Shadowless. Now that Unlimited boxes are $8-9k, the “worst” case secenario where the packs contain Unlimited cards is still worth quite a bit.
This is probably in relation to the person offering this privately, or you might be them.
Regardless you can’t guarantee shadowless ever. It’s entirely probability. The highest probability is not this box, it’s the clear wrap. Even if the packs are “shadowless” style, they can still be unlimited. Which has been the case more so than not recently.
Nothing with Wizards was guaranteed. I could tell you some stories like a 1st base box I opened that had all long crimp packs, all non 1st Edition and only 6 total holos lol.
@smpratte, totally agree. I guess one way to think about valuation for this variant would be to value a long crimp clear wrap box (“guaranteed shadowless”) and apply some sort of discount. What would you value a guaranteed shadowless box? Nevertheless, the short crimp with logos seems pretty rare from my research which requires some sort of premium over unlimited, particularly as a collectors item. Unfortunately, that premium has to be extremely subjective give the rarity and lack of comps.
Lol someone cracked a case or something? Z&G just made a video on it looks like he picked one up, there was the auction one, and now Dave and Adams just listed one for 50k on their site as guaranteed shadowless lol…