At the end of the day, this is a major decision that you alone should make.
Here are my thoughts…
Why do you want to cross it? Is it for resale? If it is not for resale, why do you want the 9.5? The card isn’t changing… just the subjective appraisal of its quality.
How will you feel if you accidentally damage the card while cracking/submitting it? No matter how excellent you are at cracking slabs, there is always an inherent risk of damage.
How will you feel if it comes back a BGS 9 or lower? That is a real possibility. Will you no longer like the card in its BGS slab?
Hard to say. It might become a 9.5 basic or it might stay pretty consistent. With that print line in the holo, that’s pretty standard for a PSA 8 or 9 or a BGS 9 surface grade in my experience. You might move up on the score for the edges if that is the only noticeable chip you can find, as that would usually classify as a 9.5 edge from what I’ve seen. Maybe it has more wear somewhere else?
So I would hope on a BGS 9.5 but wouldn’t be surprised by a BGS 9 silver label. Either way it won’t really change the value of the card and I think the BGS label would also look nicer with the orange Charizard (just my opinion of course).
I have a friend (who’s on this forum so I’ll leave it to him to give further info if he wants to) who recently got back BGS 9.5s on cracked-out CGC 9s. And BGS had previously rejected those exact same cards while in the slab as failing to meet the minimum grade requirement for BGS 9.
So you’re certainly correct to want to crack the card out before attempting. What it comes down to is the strength of the CGC 9. I’ve seen CGC 9s that are on the weaker side (closer to PSA 8 quality) and ones that are extremely strong (closer to PSA 10 quality). If you post the certification number people will be able to check out CGC’s scans of the slab and give you a more informed opinion. It has strong subs and is an old cert, which are facts that bode well for you.
Sounds like that guy is an idiot to send the same card twice…
But yeah in all seriousness I send a lot of CGC to BGS these days for my PC all in the cgc 8.5 range since my goal is to hit the BGS 9. When I get fairly desperate to complete a goal (like when BGS teases a change in label), I sometimes send cgc 9s to bgs in the slab and state I want to cross 1 to 1. I have never had an issue with this until recently (the past 3 months or so) when a few (4) have been sent back to me as rejected due to them not being able to do the 1:1 cross.
I cracked 3 of them and I got a 9 and 2 9.5s after being rejected for 9 like I wanted/still frikin want. Grading is insanely subjective at the half grade level. I also cracked 4 cgc 8s and got bgs 7.5s within the last few months. I should note that I do send mostly eseries holos which have better overall print quality than most sets and often I opt for no subgrades. There are a few conspiracy theories about no subs vs subs being more lenient but I have gotten what I consider to be “lucky/above my pregrades” and “unlucky” many many times using both methods (I do use subs for everything I send that is not eseries).
I feel like my response here is a big pile of nothing helpful for the OP though so here is my opinion based on submitting a few hundred eseries holos over the past 2 years (please dont take it as a guarentee)
BGS weighs centering over surface, so one print line is not bad
BGS weighs edges and corners over surface as well so your subs are in the right spots (if there is more than that one white dot I would reconsider)
thats an old cert cgc label which I have literally never had downgraded
HOWEVER…
That is a charizard. The charizard tax is real from my experiance and most charizards get looked at harder. But if you are ok with a bgs 9 at worst since the slab will be not scratched then I’d say your risk for an 8.5 is very very low almost 0%
I didnt wanna say anything before you cracked to sway your decision, but now that its all out I would wager that you have a much better shot at 9.5 than 9 there
This is a good point. I have definitely seen many cards that are in that undergraded/inbetween grade so many times. I sort of view everything as “hope for the best” so I’m not disappointed, but no doubt that if the card is strong enough to upgrade that it can really just come down to the card and not necessarily any other factor like the sub-grades. I have several PSA 9s that I’m confident would be 9.5s, but then I definitely have a couple that’d be more like a regular 9 (and probably should be PSA 8, lol).