Best time to consolidate vintage into the people who know whats up. Pokemon is so mainstream now that I truly believe the days of finding raw 1st ed base holos on ebay from sellers who are just cleaning out attics are coming to a close
This may be the very last big consolidation period we have. Not to say prices wont or cant go down, but the transferal of high end stuff into a select relatively small group is happening quietly behind the scenes (or maybe not so quietly but it seems quiet in comparison to all this modern, youtuber drama, market watch, grading closures and scalping going on)
The fact that people are risking $150 to grade these cards and are still being rewarded to do so is absolutely mind blowing to me. The pops on these easy to grade, non-vintage, non-rare cards are going to be massive.
I see people sell XY FAs to Modern FAs and Alt Arts for $200 or less. I saw an ex FA that was selling for $150 in PSA 10. It had a 63xx cert. It cost $150+ to get that card graded. WTF would you grade that card just to sell it. This is the stuff that blows my mind.
So current thread meta is between bashing on Aoki poke goals or dramatizing how folks spend their money grading/buy graded cards. Interesting. Ok.
Soo⊠It should be no surprise that new modern cards, graded during the $150 fees will command a higher buying price for those early adopters. The difficult cards to grade appear to be greninja, celebrations collection (non classic), and probably the FA Pikachu in the grass (qc terrible where the sunâs rays are just mass print lines). If you want to wait a year+ (Psa bulk down still), you can probably get the cards in PSA 10 for less down the line. Owning a PSA 10 is much cleaner then having the card in NM+ condition, but to each their own collecting styles.
It is surprising that the lower qc Celebrations Collection, which are also lower pop then the Classic Collectionâs are not selling for higher prices, aside from the one the Reshiram that sold for $800. The New Celebrations Collection is the New (Unique Art?), whereas the Classic Collection is reprints, like the Charizard.
16,6% chance to get the 10 based on a whopping 12 copies graded so far. Statistically speaking, youâll need $930 (fees+raw copies) to grade a 10.
Of course, another approach would be to spend half of that money on 93 raw copies instead and sit on them until grading is cheap again. No matter how difficult it is to grade (which it clearly isnât) youâd only need a success rate of 1,07% to get one10 (or, more realistically, around 20).