Market saturation?

[danza21]

Truly, I hope so. I also believe it will. Just can’t say for certain. And if it doesn’t, I still love and am happy with my collection! Of course, I want my collection to go up in value just as much as everyone on here. We’re all on the same team

[smpratte]

That is true and perhaps should be stated more often. People sometimes use the term “invest” as guaranteed profit. There is always an inherent risk.

[cullers]

@danza21

To everyone that claims to know where the market is going, please, I beg you, let me borrow your crystal ball.

Bottom line: no one knows anything for certain. Sure, we can make “educated” guesses based on the history of the market, current saturation, scarcity, rarity, price spikes, holiday shopping, blah blah blah. But at the end of the day, no one truly knows.

Do I want my collection to go up in value? YES. Is that why I bought my collection? Absolutely and unequivocally, NO. I bought my cards because I love Pokemon.

Time will tell is literally the ONLY guarantee. Pokemon is a LIVE market. Markets fluctuate, but if you consider this hobby simply an investment I recommend putting your money elsewhere. Pay for what you believe a card is worth, with the inherent knowledge that you might be stuck with it if you don’t want to sell it for a loss. Stop being so concerned about market saturation and the price of cards. Our brilliant leader Scott has touched on this many times in his videos. I recommend rewatching them.

When did Scott become my leader?

[genosha]

@smpratte

That is true and perhaps should be stated more often. People sometimes use the term “invest” as guaranteed profit. There is always an inherent risk.

Rudy has a whole video about people thinking just buying sealed product and sitting on it for 8-12 months will make it worth more. All aboard the one way ride to hosetown!

[KingPokemon]

@kkthxbai

There’s alot of base set cards printed. It’s one of the largest sets ever printed in history. Maybe the most printed set in fact actually.

I couldn’t disagree more Andrew. In April of 1999 you couldn’t even find a 1st Ed pack or holo anywhere. One guy at Frank&sons had two packs in his case that, “Were for viewing only” lol. We traveled everywhere between Renton to Puente Hills searching.
Even the heavier printed unlimited set dried up for 3 years.

Edit: sorry. I see somebody already pointed this out and you didn’t mean 1st edition.

[kkthxbai]

@KingPokemon

@kkthxbai

There’s alot of base set cards printed. It’s one of the largest sets ever printed in history. Maybe the most printed set in fact actually.

I couldn’t disagree more Andrew. In April of 1999 you couldn’t even find a 1st Ed pack or holo anywhere. One guy at Frank&sons had two packs in his case that, “Were for viewing only” lol. We traveled everywhere between Renton to Puente Hills searching.
Even the heavier printed unlimited set dried up for 3 years.

I wasn’t talking about first edition.
I was talking about the base set overall in general is the largest printed set.

24+ variants over a couple years.

Sorry for the confusion above, I didn’t realise he was just talking about first edition base only.

[KingPokemon]

@Cerulean

@PokemonClassics

I’ve noticed (anecdotally) that prices seem to peak in the the summer/fall months before dropping a bit in the winter each year. I assume a large portion of our community is either in school or too distracted this time of year to focus on their collections. Winter is a buyer’s market . . . just my two cents!

In my opinion, the fact that winter is a buyer’s market boils down to one thing: Christmas shopping.

People spend their disposable income (and more) on Christmas gifts, sometimes with cash/debit cards and sometimes with credit cards, the latter of which they have to pay off over the course of the following months.

As a result, people have less money to spend on collectibles.

Yes, winter is about buying for others. The rest of the year is for OURSELVES hihihihi.

[KingPokemon]

@kkthxbai

@KingPokemon

I couldn’t disagree more Andrew. In April of 1999 you couldn’t even find a 1st Ed pack or holo anywhere. One guy at Frank&sons had two packs in his case that, “Were for viewing only” lol. We traveled everywhere between Renton to Puente Hills searching.
Even the heavier printed unlimited set dried up for 3 years.

I wasn’t talking about first edition.
I was talking about the base set overall in general is the largest printed set.

24+ variants over a couple years.

Sorry for the confusion above, I didn’t realise he was just talking about first edition base only.

Yes xxt…I edited my post after I read on and saw what you wrote.

[KingPokemon]

@danza21

Of course, I want my collection to go up in value just as much as everyone on here. We’re all on the same team

I’m not on that team. Anybody like me, who buys more than they sell and always will, are getting killed by this giant upturn. I want the prices to drop on every item in my collection, even sports, other non sport, and everything else I actively collect.
I collect for the love of the item. The value is meaningless unless it shoots so high I can’t afford it. Already a few months ago I bid 55,000.00 on a single Pokemon card, AND LOST!!! I was sick.
So please, play down any significance in the hobby that could ignite a decrease.
Always remember, valuation only matters if realized;)

[jakew1992]

@KingPokemon

@danza21

Of course, I want my collection to go up in value just as much as everyone on here. We’re all on the same team

I’m not on that team. Anybody like me, who buys more than they sell and always will, are getting killed by this giant upturn. I want the prices to drop on every item in my collection, even sports, other non sport, and everything else I actively collect.
I collect for the love of the item. The value is meaningless unless it shoots so high I can’t afford it. Already a few months ago I bid 55,000.00 on a single Pokemon card, AND LOST!!! I was sick.
So please, play down any significance in the hobby that could ignite a decrease.
Always remember, valuation only matters if realized;)

This. Collect for the love of the hobby/card or whatever . If a card you own goes up in value that’s a nice bonus, but the real bonus is finding that last card you need to complete a set or getting a 10 on one of your own cards that’s my view any ways

[woolsluk]

Just thought i would add that in many jobs in the UK which get paid on a monthly cycle at the end of each month you actually get paid earlier in december to deal with xmas and as a result you dont then get paid until your usual pay date in january which sometimes is up to 6 weeks after the December pay date so people are always a bit low om the dollar in late december/january.