I’ve been closely tracking modern cards and have been noticing that a LOT of modern cards are lower than before, including in the sets I was talking about earlier, from Surging sparks to Destined Rivals to Temporal forces and Journey Together. I’ve been hearing about how people are moving away from Pokemon and switching to One Piece, which would greatly improve prices. I’ve been seeing Pokemon packs in stores now and even days after they were put on the shelf.
Is this the time to buy cards for my collection, or better yet buy cards, hold them, and then wait a few months so that I can sell them to get enough for Gold Star Rayquaza?
I cant speak for everyone, but Im going to let things cool off alot more before buying. If you have the money, and its not hurting you financially then be happy and treat yourself.
If everything goes right I could have it a few months after 30th anniversary, haven’t fully worked out the kinks however but I have a few plans in mind…
Cards that are going down right now are going down for a reason - too much supply and low organic demand. Only temporary hype pulled prices up. I could be completely wrong - but if a modern card went down 20% recently, I don’t think it will go back up soon to compensate for ebay fees and shipping. Remember you need a card you bought for $100 card to go up 20% just to break even
Definitely can see this happening, but I think as these cards get less expensive, the market for grading them opens up wide. I’ve been seeing more mint cards that I could possibly grade and sell again. It’s become way easier to source cards to grade, especially because people are dumping them to move on to other hobbies.
Need to follow further on this logic. If people are dumping raw cards because they are no longer interested, will people be interested in the graded version of it when it comes back from grading? Is everyone else also submitting so by the time it comes back, so did hundreds of others?
There are still going to be a lot of the collectors in the market that’ll use this chance to master set or get their chase cards. Grading is still going to be a big thing, but now the market should be more collector based instead of people purely in it for the market. It’s a big gamble and based of the premise of the market going back to lingering modern collectors and not shifting to a major boom, but I’m mainly getting sets that are going out of print so that they’ll naturally rise.
You will never be able to perfectly time the market. If you are on a limited budget (and 99.99% of collectors are), it might be better to ask yourself:
“Do I agree with this card’s current price?”
If you think it’s fairly priced, save up the cash and buy it.
If you think it’s not fairly priced, put it on the back burner to revisit.
Repeat for the next card on your wishlist.
Setting buying limits has helped me to save a lot of money during booms and to spend more wisely during busts when I feel that certain cards on my wishlist are undervalued. Sometimes I disagree with the current market sentiment, and I abstain from purchasing the card for the time being.
Oh I’m not doing speculation buying like that. A wise e4 member once told me that the best way to invest is to buy the cards that you like, and that sentiment has still stood pretty good today. None of the cards I’m buying are cards I don’t like. I would never buy a deoxys card to pump for that reason.
Also just a side note @eeveeteam Rayquaza Gold Star isn’t the only holy grail I have, I’ve also been looking at the 075/ L-P campaign and the Poncho Pikachu, both equally as awesome and cheaper to obtain, along with the lottery promo. Those would be awesome (if not better) to obtain
Personally think that ultra modern is still way to overpriced so I would wait if I were you. Don’t let 30th anniversary hype get to you. Celebrations was not hard to find when the 25th came out and it was right after a very large increase in the market.
I read some advice on this forum a long while ago that I still think about, which is “if you buy at this price and it continues to trend downward, will you be okay with that?”
you can also do the reverse with selling and trending upward
