The ORMB “rule” is about risk.
You shouldn’t compare the sold dollar value of the Misty deck vs the umbreon. You should compare their price trajectories. The trainer deck was not 6k on release. It had a slow and healthy growth across many years. In contrast, the umbreon has a $11000 premium tied to a label produced by a company who’s market share in this hobby has been shrinking and is currently close to 1% and almost lost a significant portion of that by simply upgrading their label design.
The ORMB rule does not tell you what something will go for today. It’s a vague guide for future value. This thread is framed as “would you rather be the seller of the Misty deck or the umbreon?” Of course the answer is obvious. The more interesting question is that if your primary goal was a return on investment, would you rather be the buyer of the deck or the umbreon?
What’s more likely, the deck hitting 3k when you go to sell it or the umbreon selling for 6k? Is it more probable that the deck hit 12k one day in the future or that the umbreon sells for 24k?
- Misty Trainer Deck
- Black Label Moonbreon