An elaborate attempt at print run estimation. (WIP) 5-8-18

[kevinertia]

@wooltchi

I know everyones interested in old school chase cards and their numbers which makes me curious how they compare to modern chase cards. I know tpci tries to keep the ultra/secret rares more rare despite huge printing numbers with low pull rates and high number of secret rares. For example, what would be the estimate number of a card like the rainbow charizard compared to a gold star… Obviously everyone and their mom are grading so the rainbow charizard is gonna have much better quality preservation over time but it’d be interesting to just compare numbers alone.

Also quite interesting to see how few cards were printed throughout 4th through 7th gen.

Can’t speak to the print numbers, but the PSA 10 pop of Champion’s Path rainbow zard (6820) alone is comparable to the total pop of every English EX (5846) and gold star (2199 - 736 of which is from the dogs) combined. I think it’s also safe to assume that the pop for the zard is going to continue growing much faster than the EX era cards from here. The lower pull rates/secret rare dilution is a drop in the bucket compared to the massive increase in product being produced, opened, and preserved/graded.