FA Poncho Pika - 2 Year Price Discussion

Mr.Garrison
Mon, 22 Apr 2024 20:20:38 +0000
Market

TL;DR – Do you think the market will continue to support the price of these cards over the next two years?

Pricing FA Poncho Pikas has always been an enigma for me. Anecdotally they’ve always felt a bit overpriced given the amount of supply on the market despite how often they transact.

After looking at actual sales data I’m even more perplexed…

FA poncho pika’s have continued to rise in price post Q4 2020 hype. So much so, that the growth experienced throughout 2020 doesn’t even appear anomalous on the price chart.

The only reason I bring this up is because cards released Pre 2020 typically follow a predictable pattern of rapid growth in 2020, followed by a large market correction in 2021/2022 then minor price changes throughout 2023-2024.

I’ve included the price chart of a PSA 10 Mega Zard Poncho Pika and a PSA 9 Unlimited Charizard below to demonstrate what I’m referring to.

PSA 10 Poncho Pika Mega Zard

PSA 9 Unlimited Charizard

The exponential growth they’ve enjoyed over the last 4 years without a meaningful retrace throws up some “short term” red flags in my finance brain.

I have no doubt that they will continue to perform well long term but I’m curious what E4 thinks the price of these cards will do over the next couple years?

Thanks

23 posts - 15 participants