What I find interesting too is that there’s a lot of modern only collectors who are convinced it will always continue to outperform vintage financially speaking going forward. Like I actually read comments and posts saying things like “don’t bother with vintage, it’s already maxed out” or “you missed your chance bro” or “if you didn’t collect before Covid you’ll never see growth”. How can anyone know for sure though?
The way I see it is, the gaps between each market could definitely close more over time. They will both have ups & downs over many years. Vintage has proven itself for 20+ years now. Sure, it’s corrected since Covid times, but a lot of other things have as well. I find it funny too that a lot of these modern collectors are all in on SWSH or certain XY cards, but I don’t see nearly as many cheering on S&V sets. It’s like crickets in comparison.
So I think it really comes down more to individual cards & sets. If I was going to be an ‘investor’, I wouldn’t totally bet on just 1 or the other, I’d be going for the best of each era.
I am one of the people spamming Facebook groups buying all the modern alt arts at 85%-100% of market.
If I posted vintage buyouts I would be bombarded with people sending me pictures of LP/DMG copies of the cards. Wastes a ton of my time, and waste of theirs. And that’s even if I specify looking for mint copies only.
With ultra modern, the chances are much higher someone will have a mint card laying around than a vintage one.
Your still buying at the inflated prices of alt arts since the June boom? I’ve seen them drop a little bit you’re essentially offering full price on them. That’s pretty solid. Sounds like you’re going about it better than most people. 45-50% offers are common. Same people who like to flex their budget with pics of cash
I think this is just the norm. Most modern is mint, most vintage is not. Perhaps this is partly why some new people are modern only, because vintage is harder.
From selling cards here in the Netherlands i came to the conclusion that vintage and modern collectors are 2 very different kind of collectors.
On one hand you have the >30 year old vintage boomer collectors (im one of them) who are past the phase of buying their first home and so on.
On the other hand you have the <25 year old inexperienced hype kids who still have to buy their first homes and other expensive adult stuff.
I totally get them though, if i was 10 years younger i would probably have the same mindset.
‘I Will never afford a home anyway so im just going to spend all my money, hope for the best and live day by day.’
Hype kids vs Boomers i honestly dont know how this is going to end for us Boomers😅 but im going back to enjoying these quiet days in the vintage market.
Interesting how the much the high accessibility of modern and difficultly of acquisition of vintage really defines the different segments of the market.
Depending on your perspective, accessibility is either a strength or weakness. I would say it’s highly dependent on whether your outlook is on the order of months or years.