Need help valuing items for trade deal

Hi guys

have a potential trade deal which i need help valuing

my offer is 1x PSA 8 1ST EDITION CHARIZARD

FOR

20 x Factory sealed 1999 Pokemon Topps sticker Cases (12 boxes per case = 240 boxes total)

240 x New sealed Pokemon sticker albums

Need help to value the stickers if anyone can give me an idea it would be greatly aprecitated cheers :grin:

Looking at eBay sold items, the sticker cases look to go for between 1 and 1.5k each. Not a huge number sold or listed. I don’t deal in these at all another member may be able to help you better.

I don’t know in terms of longterm value - but there seems to be upside potential if you’re willing to break it down.

As previous post I’d be conservative and put it at $1000 per case or $100 per box

This is getting into the niches, which I don’t know the how big the buyer pool really is

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I would want to be the person who gets the Charizard.

1 item is a heck easier to move than 20 cases, and is also far more liquid.

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Not a good trade. You’re stuck with a bunch of illiquid goods that you don’t really want. You can get better trades for the zard.

moving those items sounds like such a pain, and idk how often you are going to be finding fair market value buyers for 240 boxes. time is money too, so that doesn’t seem worth it imo.

Well, you get more than twice the value (around $36K for around $14K). The question is rather if it’s possible to flip the boxes fast enough or if they will appreciate faster / depreciate slower than the card.

I was looking at these Topps Merlin products 6 months ago and my conclusion was and is still today that the supply for the stickers is massive. I was and I’m still a lot more interested in the Topps Merlin tattoos. They were a lot more difficult to find 6 months ago than the stickers and today they are mostly gone. There’s so few of them that they are actually probably going to be all consumed rather quickly.

6 months ago, if I remember correctly, sales were very concentrated and mostly originating from eBay seller ā€œdjh1398ā€, based in the UK. If I remember correctly, they were moving a lot of these cases back then. Today, sales appear to be a lot more slow.

I don’t have a price history unfortunately, other than GBP 1,100 for a case of stickers and tattoos and I recall the tattoos being a lot more expensive. So it seems like the price of the stickers has shot up quite a bit (doubled ?!), while your card has tanked a lot. If that is the case, then you might start to see people who bought these cases 6 months ago start to flip them (because that’s what people buy these cases for). That may negatively affect prices. Meanwhile, your card is trending down, with speculation that we are bottoming. A scenario where stickers go 50% down and your card goes 50% up before all is liquidated seems very likely to me, in which case you would break even. I don’t see the stickers outperforming the card on the very long term.

62 boxes sold in the last 2 months, so technically 8 months to liquidate all yours. However, as I said, sales are slowing down and that would be if you would be constantly aggressively pricing them to win buyers.

My crystal ball is broken unfortunately.

Personally, I wouldn’t go through the trouble and risk of this deal.

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This is like trading a party hat on RuneScape for a bunch of alchables

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